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Odds and “Change”
Filed Under (Recent Posts) by The Don on 26-08-2008
Despite a shift towards the Republicans in recent public opinion polls, Barack Obama and the Democrats are still betting favorites to capture the White House in November.
That said, there is a fair degree of variation in presidential odds at some of the top online sportsbooks. Below is a sampling of some odds.
For those looking for value on the Democratic side, Obama and the Dems can be locked in for as low as -175.
Those liking Maverick and the his Republican dogs might want to look across the pond. The Europeans feel Obama is stronger favorite, making McCain a more attractive wager value-wise.
Ireland’s PaddyPower.com is offering McCain at +162.5. British bookmaker William Hill is even more generous listing McCain at +175.
PaddyPower.com also has a few props related to Obama’s acceptance speech at the Democratic National Convention on Thursday. Perhaps the most interesting is how times he will say the word “change”.
The odds are longest at 20-1 (+2000) he won’t utter the magic word once. The shortest odds are 7-4 (+175) that he’ll say “change” over 20 times.
And finally, it appears British bookmaker Ladbrokes.com has posted odds that hint at one of the more sinister undercurrents in this presidential campaign.
With the first-ever man non-white on the verge of being elected, many Americans fear that some nut job will try to assassinate Obama.
Perhaps with that in mind, Ladbrokes has posted odds on who will be elected president in 2012. There are only two options: Hillary Clinton at +1000 and Obama’s VP running mate Joe Biden at +3300.
| Barack Obama | John McCain | Other | |
| Intertops.com | -182 | +140 | N/A |
| BetCRIS.com | -200 (Dem. Party) | +160 (Rep. Party) | +4800 (other party) |
| TheGreek.com | -175 (Dem. Party) | +155 (Rep. Party) | +4050 (any other result) |
| SBGGlobal.com | -175 (Dem. Party) | +155 (Rep. Party) | +4050 (field) |
| BetUS.com | -175 | +135 | N/A |
| ThePig.com | -185 (Dem. Party) | +135 (Rep. Party) | N/A |
| PaddyPower.com | -225 | +162.5 | +100,000 (Paris Hilton) |
| WillHill.com | -250 | +175 | +10,000 (Barr; Nader) |
The Don has returned from vacation feeling a little uneasy about the upcoming football season.
As the readers of this blog know, The Don is a cynical old curmudgeon. Unlike the naïve do-gooders of the world, The Don usually sees the glass half-empty when it comes to current events.
Calvin Ayre is a controversial figure in sports gambling circles.
The Don has been in a bit of a funk when it comes to his interest in sports.
When you visit Las Vegas you’ll likely to notice them as you’re making your final approach to McCarran International Airport.
The Beijing Olympics look like they could be the best ever, but not because athletes will be faster, higher and stronger.
The Don has been known to be a cynical, sharp-tongued blowhard who wallows in negativity, particularly when it comes to hypocrisy in the establishment.
As America settles in for the dogs days of summer, Major League Baseball takes time out to glorify the National Past-its-prime.
This past long weekend had an eery undercurrent to it. Call me a pessimist, but it kind of felt like the last blow-out before “the Big Event”.